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Hamilton Lane INC (HLNE)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Strong Q2 FY26 with broad-based beats vs consensus: Non-GAAP EPS $1.54 vs $1.10 consensus, Revenue $190.9M vs $169.4M, and EBITDA $82.2M vs $72.0M; management highlighted mix shift to higher-fee Specialized/evergreen products and robust fee-related performance revenues contributing to margin strength . EPS*, revenue*, and EBITDA* beats versus S&P Global Consensus were 40%, 13%, and 14%, respectively; Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Year-over-year acceleration: Total revenues +27%, management & advisory fees +19%, incentive fees +61% (including FRPR), GAAP diluted EPS +23%; FRE up 37% and FRE margin to 49% (+200 bps YoY), reflecting operating leverage and evergreen momentum .
- Secular growth catalysts: Record evergreen net inflows of $1.6B in the quarter (largest ever), expansion of the evergreen suite from 3 to 11 funds to $14.3B AUM, and key partnerships (Guardian Life $500M/year for 10 years with warrants; Bloomberg indices distribution) to deepen distribution and elevate brand equity .
- Balance sheet sturdy: Unrealized carry grew to ~$1.43B (+14% YoY, +10% QoQ), debt modest at $285.6M, and investments increased to $708.3M, providing continued optionality to invest alongside clients and strategic tech initiatives .
- Dividend maintained and stepping up: Quarterly dividend declared at $0.54; full-year target $2.16 (+10% YoY) re-affirmed—an ongoing shareholder return pillar .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Mix shift and fee-rate lift: Specialized Funds—especially evergreen—drove PR/FEAUM growth and a higher blended fee rate (65 bps); FRE up 37% YoY and margin to 49% . “Our blended fee rate also continues to benefit from the shift…most notably our Evergreen products” .
- Record evergreen inflows: $1.6B net Q2 inflows (largest quarter ever), suite expanded to 11 funds, with over $1B evergreen AUM not yet paying management fees set to phase-in starting calendar Q4 2025 and into 2026 (timing tailwind) . “We expect that over half of that current $1 billion will move into Specialized Fund fee-earning AUM during the calendar fourth quarter of 2025” .
- Strategic partnerships: Guardian Life’s long-term partnership—$500M per year for 10 years plus $5B oversight and seed capital to accelerate evergreen; warrants diluted <1% and revenue share tied to seed capital—near-term fee uplift and durable pipeline . Bloomberg partnership to distribute Hamilton Lane private market indices globally, a brand and distribution amplifier among RIAs .
What Went Wrong
- Expense growth: Total expenses +34% YoY; compensation & benefits +40% and G&A +21% YoY given headcount/EB comp and revenue-related commissions for wealth channels, partially offset by discipline elsewhere .
- Incentive fees volatility: Despite strong Q2, management reiterated inherent unpredictability of realizations (though FRPR provides recurring element); prior quarters showed lighter incentive fee levels, underscoring variability embedded in the model .
- Advisory revenue softness: Advisory fees -5% YoY and fund reimbursement -27% YTD, reflecting mix and timing; the strategic focus remains on higher-fee specialized offerings and evergreen expansion .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown – Q2 FY26 management & advisory fees:
Key KPIs:
Results vs S&P Global consensus – Q2 FY26:
Guidance Changes
No formal quantitative revenue/margin tax rate guidance was provided on the call or in the release .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic growth: “Guardian Life Insurance Company of America has partnered with Hamilton Lane…Guardian will…commit to invest approximately $500 million per year for the next 10 years…$250 million being used as seed…to…accelerate our growing global Evergreen platform” .
- Fee-rate and mix: “Our blended fee rate also continues to benefit from the shift…towards higher fee-rate Specialized Funds, most notably our Evergreen products. Today, our blended fee rate stands at 65 basis points” .
- Evergreen momentum and monetization: “We took in over $1.6 billion in net inflows…our largest quarter ever…over $1 billion of Evergreen AUM…not yet earning Management Fees…over half…will move into Specialized Fund fee-earning AUM during the calendar fourth quarter of 2025” .
- Data/brand distribution: “We are proud to announce a partnership with Bloomberg, where users now have access to a suite of Hamilton Lane Private Market Indices and Benchmarks…this…will raise the bar for how private markets are now benchmarked” .
- Macro/credit: “Credit fundamentals are strong and defaults are low…default rate sits at around 1%…private credit…posted positive annual returns…2007 through 2010” .
Q&A Highlights
- Guardian economics and dilution: Warrants front-end loaded with additional potential later; dilution <1% based on current fully diluted share count; revenue streams from evergreen (Specialized Funds) and SMA management fees with performance fees potential .
- Fee-rate trajectory: Specialized core fee rate continues to lift as mix shifts to evergreen; expectation for continued blended rate improvement .
- Fee holidays: Applied to new product launches (6–12 months) to attract early adopters; not expected for established funds or longer durations; FRPR continues during holidays .
- SMA pipeline and sales motion: Robust multi-billion pipeline; sales organized by geography problem-solving rather than product silos; superior economics favor Specialized/evergreen when meeting client needs .
- Bloomberg indices monetization: Revenue share model; primary focus on brand enhancement among RIAs and embedding private market benchmarks into workflows, not investible indices .
Estimates Context
- HLNE delivered substantial beats vs S&P Global consensus on EPS*, revenue*, and EBITDA* (see table above). The magnitude of beats alongside higher fee-related performance revenues and rising blended fee rate suggests upward pressure on forward estimates for management & advisory fees and FRE margin.
- Consensus target price* stood at $163.5 during Q2; with strategic catalysts (Guardian, Bloomberg, record evergreen inflows) and monetization of fee holidays, sell-side may revisit target dispersion and FRE sensitivity. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Powerful mix shift: Evergreen products are driving fee-rate uplift, stronger FRE margins, and recurring FRPR—supporting higher-quality earnings and cash generation .
- Monetization runway: >$1B evergreen AUM not yet fee-paying will begin converting in Q4 2025; tailwinds to management fees and margins into FY26–FY27 .
- Strategic distribution scaling: Guardian partnership institutionalizes durable inflows ($500M/yr), while Bloomberg indices broaden brand and RIA engagement—both catalysts for multi-year AUM growth .
- Carry and credit risks appear manageable: Growing unrealized carry to ~$1.43B and management’s data-backed stance against a credit crisis support visibility on incentive fees over time (with inherent timing variability) .
- Expense optics: Elevated G&A and compensation reflect growth investments and revenue-related distribution costs; management emphasizing offsets and discipline—watch FRE margin resilience vs scaling costs .
- Near-term trading: The magnitude of beats and evergreen monetization timing are positive; any incremental color in the 10-Q on Guardian warrants and revenue share could be a stock narrative driver .
- Medium-term thesis: HLNE’s multi-pronged growth (evergreen, insurance solutions, data/tech distribution) and rising blended fee rates underpin sustained AUM, revenue, and FRE expansion with improving earnings quality .